import live www.sillylaird.ca webrootHEADmain

6 files changed, 194 insertions, 0 deletions

diff --git a/.agents/skills/results-report/references/EVIDENCE-PROPAGATION.md b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/EVIDENCE-PROPAGATION.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..bd46910
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/EVIDENCE-PROPAGATION.md
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
+# Evidence Propagation
+
+Use this file to keep `results-analysis` outputs aligned with the final report.
+
+## Mapping rule
+
+- `analysis-report.md` -> main findings and narrative summary
+- `stats-appendix.md` -> test choice, uncertainty, effect size, correction rule
+- `figure-catalog.md` -> figure purpose and per-figure interpretation scaffolding
+- figure files -> visual evidence cited in `Figure-by-Figure Interpretation`
+
+## Minimum statistical carry-over
+
+Every strong claim in a results report should preserve:
+- sample size or run/seed count,
+- metric definition,
+- uncertainty summary,
+- test name,
+- effect size when relevant,
+- multiple-comparison handling when relevant.
+
+## Unsupported claim rule
+
+If the analysis bundle does not support a claim strongly enough, keep the claim tentative and say why.
+Do not upgrade a suggestive result into a decisive conclusion during report writing.
diff --git a/.agents/skills/results-report/references/decision-oriented-analysis.md b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/decision-oriented-analysis.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..a63a0c3
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/decision-oriented-analysis.md
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+# Decision-Oriented Analysis
+
+The purpose of a post-experiment report is not only to record what happened.
+It should change the project's next decision.
+
+## Required final questions
+- What should stop?
+- What should continue?
+- What should be tested next?
+- What should be promoted into a durable result note?
+- What, if anything, is ready for manuscript-facing writing?
+
+## Good closing pattern
+- “This round supports X.”
+- “It does not yet resolve Y.”
+- “The main blocker is Z.”
+- “Therefore the next concrete action is A.”
diff --git a/.agents/skills/results-report/references/figure-interpretation.md b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/figure-interpretation.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..1156d74
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/figure-interpretation.md
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+# Figure Interpretation in Results Reports
+
+A results report should not dump figures.
+
+For each major figure, write four blocks:
+- **Why this figure exists**
+- **What to notice**
+- **What interpretation is supported**
+- **What this changes in the project decision**
+
+## Example micro-structure
+
+### Figure X
+- Purpose: compare adapter vs freezing under the same transfer setting.
+- Observation: adapter improves mean WER and reduces variance.
+- Interpretation: subject-specific adaptation likely resolves part of the transfer mismatch.
+- Decision implication: prioritize adapter ablations before expanding frozen-only variants.
diff --git a/.agents/skills/results-report/references/report-naming.md b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/report-naming.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..7132468
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/report-naming.md
@@ -0,0 +1,53 @@
+# Report Naming Standard
+
+## Filename
+
+Use:
+
+```text
+YYYY-MM-DD--{experiment-line}--r{round}--{purpose}.md
+```
+
+Rules:
+- date must be the report date,
+- `experiment-line` should be short and stable,
+- `round` should be zero-padded only if that is already the project convention; otherwise `r3` / `r03` are both acceptable if used consistently,
+- `purpose` should describe why the report exists, not a vague label like `summary` unless that is truly the purpose.
+
+Recommended purpose values:
+- `transfer-summary`
+- `ablation-report`
+- `failure-analysis`
+- `robustness-check`
+- `round-review`
+
+## Title
+
+Use:
+
+```text
+{Experiment Line} / Round {N} / {Purpose} / {YYYY-MM-DD}
+```
+
+## Frontmatter fields
+
+Required:
+- `type: results-report`
+- `date`
+- `experiment_line`
+- `round`
+- `purpose`
+- `status`
+- `source_artifacts`
+- `linked_experiments`
+- `linked_results`
+
+## Placement in Obsidian
+
+Internal reports go to:
+
+```text
+Results/Reports/{filename}
+```
+
+Do not put internal experiment reports in `Writing/` unless they are already manuscript/slides/rebuttal material.
diff --git a/.agents/skills/results-report/references/report-structure.md b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/report-structure.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..e0eb247
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/report-structure.md
@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+# Results Report Structure
+
+## 1. Executive Summary
+Answer:
+- what was tested,
+- what the highest-confidence conclusion is,
+- what decision this changes.
+
+## 2. Experiment Identity and Decision Context
+Answer:
+- which experiment line this belongs to,
+- why this round was run,
+- what prior uncertainty or decision it was meant to resolve.
+
+## 3. Setup and Evaluation Protocol
+Answer:
+- datasets / subjects / splits,
+- methods compared,
+- primary metrics,
+- repeated-run structure,
+- any deviations from prior protocol.
+
+## 4. Main Findings
+Answer:
+- what changed most,
+- which comparison matters most,
+- where the largest gains or failures appear.
+
+## 5. Statistical Validation
+Answer:
+- what evidence supports the major claims,
+- what tests were used,
+- where the evidence is weak.
+
+## 6. Figure-by-Figure Interpretation
+For each main figure:
+- why it is shown,
+- what to notice,
+- what is supported,
+- what remains uncertain.
+
+## 7. Failure Cases / Negative Results / Limitations
+Answer:
+- what did not work,
+- what instability appeared,
+- what limits the current conclusion.
+
+## 8. What Changed Our Belief
+Answer:
+- which prior hypothesis is strengthened,
+- weakened,
+- or still unresolved.
+
+## 9. Next Actions
+Answer:
+- stop / continue / ablate / scale / write.
+
+## 10. Artifact and Reproducibility Index
+List:
+- source artifacts,
+- figure paths,
+- scripts/logs,
+- linked Obsidian notes.
diff --git a/.agents/skills/results-report/references/statistical-completeness.md b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/statistical-completeness.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..4c8756c
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/results-report/references/statistical-completeness.md
@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
+# Statistical Completeness for Results Reports
+
+A report may summarize statistics, but it must not silently weaken them.
+
+## Always carry forward
+- sample size / seed count
+- metric direction
+- descriptive statistics
+- uncertainty estimate
+- test choice
+- effect size
+- correction rule when relevant
+- evidence boundary
+
+## Never do this in the report
+- upgrade a trend to a conclusion
+- omit the sample size
+- replace effect size with adjectives like “large” without numbers
+- cite a figure without saying what the uncertainty represents