aboutsummaryrefslogtreecommitdiffstats
path: root/.agents/skills/kaggle-learner/references/knowledge/nlp/konwinski-prize-2025.md
diff options
context:
space:
mode:
authorsillylaird <sillyfanboy@gmail.com>2026-09-03 00:33:59 +0000
committersillylaird <sillyfanboy@gmail.com>2026-09-03 00:33:59 +0000
commit898b52edcb47bcb3e9d6106e74ca73e74ea01e70 (patch)
tree85c6ee5ad58b860144551184d4cf86b560c62b91 /.agents/skills/kaggle-learner/references/knowledge/nlp/konwinski-prize-2025.md
downloadwww-main.tar.gz
www-main.zip
import live www.sillylaird.ca webrootHEADmain
Diffstat (limited to '')
-rw-r--r--.agents/skills/kaggle-learner/references/knowledge/nlp/konwinski-prize-2025.md662
1 files changed, 662 insertions, 0 deletions
diff --git a/.agents/skills/kaggle-learner/references/knowledge/nlp/konwinski-prize-2025.md b/.agents/skills/kaggle-learner/references/knowledge/nlp/konwinski-prize-2025.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..fc02ce9
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.agents/skills/kaggle-learner/references/knowledge/nlp/konwinski-prize-2025.md
@@ -0,0 +1,662 @@
+# Konwinski Prize 2025 - AI GitHub Issue Resolver Competition
+
+> **Competition URL**: https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/konwinski-prize
+>
+> **Official Website**: https://kprize.ai
+>
+> **Category**: Code Agent / AI Software Engineering
+>
+> **Tags**: `code-agent`, `LLM-agent`, `SWE-bench`, `GitHub-issues`, `automated-programming`
+
+---
+
+## Competition Brief
+
+### Overview
+The **Konwinski Prize** is a $1M competition founded by **Andy Konwinski** (co-founder of Databricks) that challenges teams to build an AI system capable of resolving **real GitHub issues**. The competition uses a contamination-free version of the SWE-bench benchmark with GitHub issues collected **after** submissions to prevent data leakage.
+
+### Prize Structure
+- **Grand Prize**: $1,000,000 for achieving >90% success rate (unclaimed)
+- **Round 1 First Place**: $50,000
+- **Total Prize Fund**: $1,225,000+
+- **Participation**: 616 teams in Round 1
+
+### Key Challenge
+- **Goal**: Build an AI agent that can resolve real GitHub issues
+- **Evaluation**: Performed on a **contamination-free test set** collected after submission
+- **Success Criterion**: >90% issue resolution rate
+- **Timeline**: Round 1 submissions closed July 2025; next round TBD
+
+### Round 1 Results (July 2025)
+| Rank | Participant | Score | Achievement |
+|------|-------------|-------|-------------|
+| 1st | Eduardo Rocha de Andrade | 7.5% (0.058242) | $50,000 prize |
+| 2nd | camaro | ~6-7% | Public 2nd Place |
+| 3rd | Anonymous | ~5-6% | Bronze Medal |
+| 4th | Anonymous | ~5-6% | "Select-Patch-Verify-Test" |
+| 5th | Anonymous | ~5% | Regex traceback analysis |
+| 6th | quan16369 (Team of 2) | 0.8% | Gold Medal (3 correct, 2 wrong) |
+
+**Key Insight**: The winning score of **7.5%** highlights how extremely difficult real-world GitHub issue resolution is, even for state-of-the-art AI systems.
+
+### Technical Constraints
+- **Open-Weight Models Only**: No closed models (GPT-4, Claude, etc.) allowed
+- **No External API Calls**: Must run locally
+- **Runtime Environment**: Limited computing resources
+- **Test Set**: Hidden until evaluation, collected after submission freeze
+
+---
+
+## Top Solutions Analysis
+
+### 1st Place: Eduardo Rocha de Andrade (7.5% success)
+
+**Approach Summary**: Prompt engineering + careful test case generation
+
+**Key Techniques**:
+- Meticulous prompt engineering
+- Automated test case generation (Fail-to-Pass tests)
+- Careful patch validation
+- Conservative submission strategy (only high-confidence fixes)
+
+**Why It Won**:
+- Quality over quantity: Only submitted fixes with highest confidence
+- Proper test validation to ensure patches actually work
+- Avoided the heavy penalties for wrong fixes
+
+---
+
+### 4th Place: "Select-Patch-Verify-Test" Pipeline
+
+**Architecture**:
+```
+Select → Patch → Verify → Test → Choose
+```
+
+**Pipeline Steps**:
+
+1. **Select**: Analyze bug reports + code tree to identify relevant files
+2. **Patch**: Generate candidate patches using LLM
+3. **Verify**: Multi-attempt LLM verification (measure confidence)
+4. **Test**: Generate F2P (Fail-to-Pass) tests
+ - Tests must fail on original code
+ - Tests must pass after patch application
+5. **Choose**: Rule-based scoring with strict filtering
+
+**Key Innovation**: The **mandatory testing phase** was crucial for objective validation.
+
+---
+
+### 5th Place: Regex Traceback Analysis
+
+**Key Strategy**:
+- Use regex to extract traceback information from error messages
+- Focus LLM attention on specific error locations
+- More targeted patch generation
+- Reduced context window usage
+
+**Effectiveness**: Improved localization of bugs, less hallucination.
+
+---
+
+### 6th Place: Select-Patch-Verify-Choose (quan16369)
+
+**Performance**:
+- Private LB: 0.823% (3 correct, 2 wrong, 115 skipped)
+- Public LB: -0.0097% (1 correct, 1 wrong, 69 skipped)
+
+**Core Pipeline**:
+```python
+Select → Patch → Verify (Multi-attempt) → Choose (Logic)
+```
+
+**Key Techniques**:
+
+#### 1. Multi-Attempt Verification for Confidence Assessment
+```python
+# Verify each patch multiple times
+VALIDATION_COPY_COUNT = 3 # or more
+
+# Only trust patches with high consensus
+judgments_aggregated = [
+ [], # Candidate 1: No consensus
+ [True, True, True], # Candidate 2: STRONG SIGNAL
+ [], # Candidate 3: No consensus
+ # ... etc
+]
+```
+
+#### 2. Sophisticated Scoring Function
+```python
+def calculate_patch_score(patch, judgments):
+ # Heavy penalty if invalid or no Yes votes
+ if not is_valid(patch) or judgments.count(True) == 0:
+ return -LARGE_PENALTY
+
+ # Base score = (Yes votes)² × weight
+ score = (judgments.count(True) ** 2) * 5.0
+
+ # EXPONENTIAL size penalty - forces concise solutions
+ score -= (np.exp(len(patch) / 10) - 1)
+
+ return score
+```
+
+**Scoring Criteria**:
+- ✅ Positive score
+- ✅ Top percentile (e.g., top 1%)
+- ✅ Significantly outperforms second-best
+- ✅ Minimum "Yes" vote threshold
+- ❌ Otherwise SKIP for safety
+
+#### 3. Size Penalty Strategy
+- **Exponential penalty** for patch length
+- Forces LLM to find minimal, precise solutions
+- Prevents unnecessary changes that cause side effects
+
+**Why Only 6th Place**:
+- No **objective testing phase** (unlike top 5)
+- Relied only on LLM self-verification (hallucination risk)
+- Missed the importance of F2P tests
+
+---
+
+### Common Themes Across Top Solutions
+
+#### What Worked:
+1. **Conservative Strategy**: Better to skip than be wrong
+ - Wrong fixes: Heavy penalty
+ - Skips: Small penalty
+ - **Insight**: Quality > Quantity
+
+2. **Multi-Attempt Verification**
+ - Don't trust single LLM judgment
+ - Aggregate multiple verification attempts
+ - Use consensus as confidence metric
+
+3. **Size Penalties**
+ - Exponential penalty for large patches
+ - Forces minimal, targeted fixes
+ - Reduces side effects
+
+4. **Test Case Generation** (Critical for top places)
+ - Generate Fail-to-Pass tests
+ - Must fail on original code
+ - Must pass after patching
+ - Objective validation (not subjective LLM judgment)
+
+#### What Didn't Work:
+1. **Aggressive Fixing**: Trying to fix everything led to more wrong fixes
+2. **Single Verification**: Trusting one LLM judgment caused hallucinations
+3. **Large Patches**: More code = more chance of breaking something
+4. **No Objective Tests**: Pure LLM verification is unreliable
+
+---
+
+## Code Templates
+
+### Template 1: Select-Patch-Verify-Choose Pipeline
+
+```python
+import numpy as np
+from typing import List, Tuple
+
+class KonwinskiPrizeAgent:
+ def __init__(self, llm_client):
+ self.llm = llm_client
+ self.VALIDATION_COPY_COUNT = 3
+ self.SIZE_PENALTY_WEIGHT = 0.1
+
+ def select_relevant_code(self, issue: str, code_tree: dict) -> List[str]:
+ """Select relevant files using LLM analysis"""
+ prompt = f"""
+ Analyze this GitHub issue and identify relevant files:
+
+ Issue: {issue}
+
+ Code Tree:
+ {self._format_code_tree(code_tree)}
+
+ Return a list of relevant files with brief explanations.
+ """
+ # Multiple selection attempts for diversity
+ selections = []
+ for _ in range(3):
+ selection = self.llm.generate(prompt)
+ selections.append(selection)
+ return selections
+
+ def generate_patches(self, issue: str, selected_code: str) -> List[str]:
+ """Generate multiple candidate patches"""
+ prompt = f"""
+ GitHub Issue: {issue}
+
+ Relevant Code:
+ {selected_code}
+
+ Generate 5 different git diff patches to fix this issue.
+ Each patch should be minimal and targeted.
+ """
+ patches = self.llm.generate(prompt)
+ return self._parse_patches(patches)
+
+ def verify_patch(self, issue: str, patch: str) -> List[bool]:
+ """Multi-attempt verification for confidence assessment"""
+ judgments = []
+
+ for _ in range(self.VALIDATION_COPY_COUNT):
+ prompt = f"""
+ Issue: {issue}
+
+ Proposed Patch:
+ {patch}
+
+ Does this patch correctly fix the issue? Answer Yes or No.
+ """
+ response = self.llm.generate(prompt)
+ is_yes = "yes" in response.lower()
+ judgments.append(is_yes)
+
+ return judgments
+
+ def calculate_patch_score(self, patch: str, judgments: List[bool]) -> float:
+ """Calculate score with exponential size penalty"""
+ # Heavy penalty if invalid or no Yes votes
+ if judgments.count(True) == 0:
+ return -1000.0
+
+ # Base score = (Yes votes)² × weight
+ score = (judgments.count(True) ** 2) * 5.0
+
+ # Exponential size penalty
+ score -= (np.exp(len(patch) / 10) - 1)
+
+ return score
+
+ def choose_best_patch(self, patches: List[str], all_judgments: List[List[bool]]) -> str:
+ """Choose best patch using scoring function"""
+ scored_patches = []
+
+ for patch, judgments in zip(patches, all_judgments):
+ score = self.calculate_patch_score(patch, judgments)
+ scored_patches.append((patch, score, judgments))
+
+ # Sort by score
+ scored_patches.sort(key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True)
+
+ # Apply strict criteria
+ if not scored_patches:
+ return None
+
+ best_patch, best_score, best_judgments = scored_patches[0]
+
+ # Must meet all criteria
+ if best_score <= 0:
+ return None
+
+ if len(scored_patches) > 1:
+ second_score = scored_patches[1][1]
+ if best_score - second_score < 10: # Must be significantly better
+ return None
+
+ return best_patch
+
+ def solve_issue(self, issue: str, code_tree: dict) -> str:
+ """Main pipeline: Select → Patch → Verify → Choose"""
+ # Step 1: Select relevant code
+ selections = self.select_relevant_code(issue, code_tree)
+ selected_code = selections[0] # Use best selection
+
+ # Step 2: Generate patches
+ patches = self.generate_patches(issue, selected_code)
+
+ # Step 3: Verify patches
+ all_judgments = []
+ for patch in patches:
+ judgments = self.verify_patch(issue, patch)
+ all_judgments.append(judgments)
+
+ # Step 4: Choose best patch
+ best_patch = self.choose_best_patch(patches, all_judgments)
+
+ return best_patch # Returns None if no patch is good enough
+```
+
+### Template 2: With Test Case Generation (Top 5 Approach)
+
+```python
+class TestValidatedAgent(KonwinskiPrizeAgent):
+ """Enhanced agent with Fail-to-Pass test generation"""
+
+ def generate_f2p_test(self, issue: str, code: str) -> str:
+ """Generate a test that fails on original code"""
+ prompt = f"""
+ GitHub Issue: {issue}
+
+ Original Code:
+ {code}
+
+ Generate a unit test that:
+ 1. FAILS on the current (buggy) code
+ 2. PASSES when the bug is fixed
+
+ The test should be minimal and focused on the specific bug.
+ """
+ test_code = self.llm.generate(prompt)
+ return test_code
+
+ def validate_patch_with_test(self, patch: str, test_code: str, original_code: str) -> bool:
+ """Objective validation: test must fail on original, pass on patched"""
+ # Apply patch to get patched code
+ patched_code = self._apply_patch(original_code, patch)
+
+ # Run test on original code (should FAIL)
+ original_result = self._run_test(test_code, original_code)
+ if original_result != "FAIL":
+ return False # Test doesn't fail on buggy code!
+
+ # Run test on patched code (should PASS)
+ patched_result = self._run_test(test_code, patched_code)
+ if patched_result != "PASS":
+ return False # Test doesn't pass on fixed code!
+
+ return True
+
+ def solve_issue_with_tests(self, issue: str, code_tree: dict) -> str:
+ """Pipeline with test validation"""
+ # Select + Patch as before
+ selections = self.select_relevant_code(issue, code_tree)
+ patches = self.generate_patches(issue, selections[0])
+
+ # Generate test
+ test_code = self.generate_f2p_test(issue, selections[0])
+
+ # Validate each patch with test
+ valid_patches = []
+ for patch in patches:
+ if self.validate_patch_with_test(patch, test_code, selections[0]):
+ valid_patches.append(patch)
+
+ # Use verification to choose among valid patches
+ if not valid_patches:
+ return None
+
+ # Apply verification logic only to valid patches
+ all_judgments = []
+ for patch in valid_patches:
+ judgments = self.verify_patch(issue, patch)
+ all_judgments.append(judgments)
+
+ return self.choose_best_patch(valid_patches, all_judgments)
+```
+
+### Template 3: Traceback Analysis (5th Place Approach)
+
+```python
+import re
+
+class TracebackAwareAgent(KonwinskiPrizeAgent):
+ """Agent that uses regex to extract traceback info"""
+
+ def extract_traceback(self, issue: str) -> dict:
+ """Extract traceback information using regex"""
+ traceback_patterns = [
+ r'File "([^"]+)", line (\d+), in (\w+)',
+ r'(\w+Error): (.+)',
+ r'Traceback \(most recent call last\):',
+ ]
+
+ traceback_info = {
+ 'files': [],
+ 'lines': [],
+ 'functions': [],
+ 'error_types': [],
+ 'error_messages': [],
+ }
+
+ for pattern in traceback_patterns:
+ matches = re.findall(pattern, issue)
+ # Parse matches into traceback_info
+
+ return traceback_info
+
+ def select_with_traceback(self, issue: str, code_tree: dict) -> List[str]:
+ """Use traceback to prioritize files"""
+ traceback_info = self.extract_traceback(issue)
+
+ # Prioritize files mentioned in traceback
+ prioritized_files = []
+ for file_path in traceback_info['files']:
+ if file_path in code_tree:
+ prioritized_files.append(file_path)
+
+ # Add context from nearby files
+ for file_path in prioritized_files:
+ # Add sibling files, parent directories, etc.
+
+ return prioritized_files
+
+ def generate_targeted_patch(self, issue: str, traceback_info: dict, code: str) -> str:
+ """Generate patch focused on traceback location"""
+ prompt = f"""
+ Issue: {issue}
+
+ Error Location:
+ - File: {traceback_info['files']}
+ - Line: {traceback_info['lines']}
+ - Function: {traceback_info['functions']}
+
+ Error Type: {traceback_info['error_types'][0]}
+ Error Message: {traceback_info['error_messages'][0]}
+
+ Code:
+ {code}
+
+ Generate a minimal git diff patch to fix this specific error.
+ Focus on the exact location mentioned in the traceback.
+ """
+ patch = self.llm.generate(prompt)
+ return patch
+```
+
+---
+
+## Best Practices
+
+### 1. Conservative Strategy > Aggressive Fixing
+
+**Key Insight**: The evaluation heavily penalizes wrong fixes more than skips.
+
+```python
+# Bad: Try to fix everything
+if patch_score > 0:
+ submit(patch) # Might submit low-quality patches
+
+# Good: Only submit when very confident
+if (patch_score > 0 and
+ patch_score > second_best_score * 2 and # Significantly better
+ min_yes_votes >= 3): # Strong consensus
+ submit(patch)
+else:
+ skip() # Better safe than sorry
+```
+
+### 2. Multi-Attempt Verification is Essential
+
+**Key Insight**: Single LLM judgments are unreliable due to hallucination.
+
+```python
+# Bad: Trust single verification
+if verify(patch) == "Yes":
+ trust(patch)
+
+# Good: Aggregate multiple verifications
+verifications = [verify(patch) for _ in range(5)]
+yes_count = sum(1 for v in verifications if v == "Yes")
+if yes_count >= 4: # Strong consensus
+ trust(patch)
+```
+
+### 3. Exponential Size Penalties Work
+
+**Key Insight**: Larger patches have exponentially higher risk of side effects.
+
+```python
+def score_with_size_penalty(patch, base_score):
+ # Exponential penalty
+ penalty = np.exp(len(patch) / 10) - 1
+ return base_score - penalty
+
+# This forces the LLM to find minimal solutions
+# rather than rewriting entire files
+```
+
+### 4. Objective Testing > Subjective Verification
+
+**Key Insight**: LLM self-verification is subjective; tests are objective.
+
+```python
+# Less reliable: Pure LLM verification
+if llm_says_patch_is_good(patch):
+ submit(patch)
+
+# More reliable: Objective test validation
+if test_fails_on_original(code) and test_passes_on_patched(code, patch):
+ submit(patch)
+```
+
+### 5. Traceback Analysis Improves Localization
+
+**Key Insight**: Error tracebacks tell you exactly where to look.
+
+```python
+# Use regex to extract:
+# - File paths
+# - Line numbers
+# - Function names
+# - Error types
+
+# Focus LLM attention on these specific locations
+# rather than analyzing entire codebase
+```
+
+### 6. Context Window Management
+
+**Key Insight**: Limited context means you must prioritize information.
+
+```python
+# Bad: Send entire codebase
+context = entire_repository # Too large!
+
+# Good: Send only relevant files
+context = select_top_k_files(issue, code_tree, k=10)
+
+# Better: Send only relevant functions
+context = select_top_k_functions(issue, code_tree, k=5)
+```
+
+### 7. Model Selection
+
+**Open-Weight Models** (allowed in competition):
+- **Qwen2.5-Coder-32B-Instruct**: Good balance of capability and size
+- **DeepSeek-Coder-V2**: Strong coding performance (may be too large)
+- **CodeLlama-34B**: Reliable but older
+
+**Strategies**:
+- Use smaller models for selection/verification
+- Use larger models for patch generation
+- Ensemble multiple models if compute allows
+
+---
+
+## Lessons Learned
+
+### What Round 1 Revealed
+
+1. **Real-World Code is Much Harder Than Benchmarks**
+ - SWE-bench Verified: ~75% top score
+ - Konwinski Prize: 7.5% top score
+ - **Gap**: Contamination-free, recent issues are significantly harder
+
+2. **Objective Testing is Non-Negotiable**
+ - All top 5 solutions used test generation
+ - 6th place (no tests) dropped to 0.8%
+ - LLM verification alone is insufficient
+
+3. **Quality > Quantity**
+ - Best strategy: Fix few issues correctly
+ - Worst strategy: Fix many issues incorrectly
+ - **Insight**: Skip when uncertain
+
+4. **Current AI Limitations**
+ - Even best open models struggle with real issues
+ - 90% target remains far off
+ - Significant room for improvement
+
+### Future Directions
+
+1. **Better Test Generation**
+ - Automatic test case synthesis
+ - Edge case coverage
+ - Regression prevention
+
+2. **Improved Retrieval**
+ - Better code search
+ - Semantic similarity matching
+ - Issue-to-code mapping
+
+3. **Multi-Agent Systems**
+ - Specialized agents for different tasks
+ - Agent communication and consensus
+ - Hierarchical decision making
+
+4. **Better Models**
+ - Larger context windows
+ - Improved code understanding
+ - Better reasoning capabilities
+
+---
+
+## Resources
+
+### Official Resources
+- **Competition Page**: https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/konwinski-prize
+- **Official Website**: https://kprize.ai
+- **Strategy Guide**: https://github.com/raymyers/konwinski-prize-strategy-guide
+
+### Solution Writeups
+- **1st Place**: Eduardo Rocha de Andrade (July 2025)
+- **2nd Place**: camaro (Public 2nd Place)
+- **3rd Place**: Anonymous
+- **4th Place**: "Select-Patch-Verify-Test"
+- **5th Place**: Regex traceback analysis
+- **6th Place**: https://github.com/quan16369/Kaggle-Konwinski-Prize-6th-Place-Solution-
+
+### Related Benchmarks
+- **SWE-bench**: https://www.swebench.com/
+- **SWE-bench Verified**: https://www.swebench.com/verified
+- **SWE-agent**: https://github.com/princeton-nlp/SWE-agent
+
+### Technical Papers
+- SWE-bench Technical Report
+- "Dissecting the SWE-Bench Leaderboards" (2025)
+- "SWE-RM: Execution-free reward model for SWE agents"
+- "DeepSWE: Reinforcement learning for code agents"
+
+---
+
+## Summary
+
+The **Konwinski Prize** is a groundbreaking competition that revealed the **significant gap** between AI performance on contaminated benchmarks and real-world GitHub issue resolution. With a winning score of only **7.5%**, the competition demonstrated that:
+
+1. **Current AI is far from 90% automated software engineering**
+2. **Objective testing is essential** for reliable code generation
+3. **Conservative strategies beat aggressive approaches**
+4. **Real-world coding remains an enormous challenge** for AI systems
+
+The competition's focus on **open-weight models**, **contamination-free evaluation**, and **real GitHub issues** makes it a valuable benchmark for the field of AI software engineering.
+
+---
+
+**Last Updated**: January 2026
+**Sources**: Kaggle competition page, solution writeups, GitHub repositories, and news articles